Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.