Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.