Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
