Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.