Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
