Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.