Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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