SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Aveley win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
31.07% ( 0.93) | 24.24% ( -0.29) | 44.69% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( 1.75) | 43.58% ( -1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( 1.7) | 65.97% ( -1.7) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( 1.48) | 26.76% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( 1.92) | 62.04% ( -1.92) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.44) | 19.66% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( 0.7) | 51.64% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.42)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.69% |
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