SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | St Albans City |
47.91% ( 0.39) | 22.84% ( -0.2) | 29.24% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.82) | 37.97% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.87) | 60.24% ( -0.87) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.45) | 16.19% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( 0.82) | 45.68% ( -0.82) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.28) | 25.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( 0.39) | 59.87% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.63% Total : 47.91% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.24% |
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