Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Aveley |
48.85% ( -0.68) | 24% ( 0.12) | 27.15% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( -0.1) | 44.77% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% ( -0.1) | 67.13% ( 0.1) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.31) | 18.43% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( -0.52) | 49.6% ( 0.52) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.37) | 30.08% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% ( 0.45) | 66.22% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Aveley |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.15% |
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