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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
1 - 1
Aveley

Carson (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (58')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 2-3 Torquay Utd
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-3 Slough
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawAveley
48.85% (-0.679 -0.68) 24% (0.117 0.12) 27.15% (0.562 0.56)
Both teams to score 57.03% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-0.102 -0.1)44.77% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (-0.1 -0.1)67.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.30600000000001 -0.31)18.43% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.519 -0.52)49.6% (0.519 0.52)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.372 0.37)30.08% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.445 0.45)66.22% (-0.446 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 48.85%
    Aveley 27.15%
    Draw 23.99%
Torquay UnitedDrawAveley
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 4% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chesham 2-3 Torquay Utd
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Enfield Town
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Aveley 0-3 Slough
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Aveley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Aveley
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in National League South


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