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National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
2 - 0
Eastbourne

Benton (45'), Rush (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 4-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawEastbourne Borough
46.51% (5.89 5.89) 25.9% (-0.726 -0.73) 27.59% (-5.164 -5.16)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5% (0.792 0.79)52.5% (-0.791 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (0.677 0.68)74.16% (-0.675 -0.67)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (3.256 3.26)22.55% (-3.255 -3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (4.625 4.63)56.14% (-4.624 -4.62)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-3.329 -3.33)33.81% (3.331 3.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-3.779 -3.78)70.47% (3.779 3.78)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 46.5%
    Eastbourne Borough 27.59%
    Draw 25.9%
AveleyDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.597 0.6)
2-0 @ 8.46% (1.24 1.24)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.682 0.68)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.939 0.94)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.169 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.384 0.38)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.46 0.46)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 46.5%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-1.077 -1.08)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.843 -0.84)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-1.068 -1.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.565 -0.57)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.578 -0.58)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 4-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Barking (4-5 pen.)
Monday, September 13 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Hampton
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South


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