SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
39.42% ( 0.1) | 25.38% ( -0.05) | 35.19% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.22) | 47.56% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( 0.21) | 69.76% ( -0.21) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.15) | 23.84% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 0.22) | 58.03% ( -0.22) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0.08) | 26.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( 0.1) | 61.25% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.19% |
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