Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
Aveley	Draw	Taunton Town
43.23% ( -0.12)	27.06% ( 0.04)	29.71% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.07% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.06% (

-0.11)

55.94% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96% (

-0.09)

77.04% (

0.09)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.11)

25.65% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

-0.16)

60.55% (

0.16)

Taunton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.01)

34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32% (

0.01)

70.68% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Aveley 43.23%

Taunton Town 29.71%

Draw 27.06%

Aveley	Draw	Taunton Town
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.71%