SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Aveley |
41.14% ( 0.19) | 25.25% ( 0.06) | 33.61% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.35) | 47.25% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -0.33) | 69.47% ( 0.32) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.06) | 22.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( -0.09) | 56.57% ( 0.09) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.33) | 26.96% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -0.43) | 62.3% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.61% |
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