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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
37.99% ( -2.05) | 25.22% ( 0.19) | 36.78% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.68) | 46.68% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.63) | 68.94% ( 0.63) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -1.36) | 24.19% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( -1.96) | 58.53% ( 1.96) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 0.74) | 24.85% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( 1.02) | 59.45% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.78% |
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