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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Taunton Town |
61.19% ( -0.34) | 21.28% ( 0.19) | 17.52% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.61) | 44% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.6) | 66.38% ( 0.59) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( -0.3) | 13.88% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.7% ( -0.59) | 41.29% ( 0.59) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( -0.19) | 38.62% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( -0.18) | 75.36% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Taunton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 61.19% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.27% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.52% |
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