SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Taunton Town | Draw | Weymouth |
34% ( -1.13) | 25.37% ( -0.35) | 40.62% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( 1.37) | 47.71% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( 1.25) | 69.9% ( -1.25) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.02) | 26.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( -0.03) | 62.28% ( 0.03) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 1.38) | 23.3% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% ( 1.96) | 57.24% ( -1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Taunton Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.62% |
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