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National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Viridor Stadium

Taunton Town
3 - 2
Worthing

Stearn (45' pen., 53' pen., 90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pearce (11' pen.), Akanbi (42')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Taunton Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 0-3 Hungerford
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Taunton Town win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Taunton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Taunton Town would win this match.

Result
Taunton TownDrawWorthing
41.27% (0.062999999999995 0.06) 24.29% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 34.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.94% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33% (0.152 0.15)42.67% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.15 0.15)65.07% (-0.149 -0.15)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.091999999999999 0.09)20.81% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.146 0.15)53.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.3% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (0.078000000000003 0.08)58.68% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Taunton Town 41.27%
    Worthing 34.43%
    Draw 24.28%
Taunton TownDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-3 Hungerford
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Slough
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 7-0 Concord Rangers
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Worthing
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Bath City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South


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