SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Taunton Town win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Taunton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Taunton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Taunton Town | Draw | Worthing |
41.27% ( 0.06) | 24.29% ( -0.03) | 34.43% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.94% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( 0.15) | 42.67% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( 0.15) | 65.07% ( -0.15) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( 0.09) | 20.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( 0.15) | 53.47% ( -0.15) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( 0.05) | 24.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( 0.08) | 58.68% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Taunton Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.43% |
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