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National League South | Gameweek 28
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
BT

Bath City
1 - 2
Braintree

Yeboah (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blair (68'), Coulthirst (84' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawBraintree Town
45.92% (-0.691 -0.69) 26.97% (0.215 0.22) 27.12% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (-0.517 -0.52)56.82% (0.515 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (-0.416 -0.42)77.75% (0.413 0.41)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.562 -0.56)24.7% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)59.24% (0.786 0.79)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.114 0.11)36.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (0.115 0.11)73.3% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 45.92%
    Braintree Town 27.12%
    Draw 26.96%
Bath CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.02% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.206 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Dartford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-1 Bath City
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 3-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South


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