SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
61.14% ( -0.82) | 21.57% ( 0.27) | 17.29% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.25) | 45.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -0.24) | 67.99% ( 0.24) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( -0.34) | 14.44% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.61% ( -0.66) | 42.38% ( 0.65) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( 0.51) | 39.89% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.45% ( 0.47) | 76.55% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.29% |
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