Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Bath City win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.