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National League South | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bulpit Lane
EU

Hungerford
3 - 4
Ebbsfleet

Wanjau-Smith (23'), Seager (84', 87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bingham (6'), Kahraman (56'), Poleon (73'), Egan (80')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawEbbsfleet
26.16%22.93%50.9%
Both teams to score 59.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28%40.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9%63.1%
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48%64.52%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86%16.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43%45.57%
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 26.16%
    Ebbsfleet 50.9%
    Draw 22.93%
Hungerford TownDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.61%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.16%
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 5.85%
0-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.9%

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