Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.