Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.
