Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Bath City | 5 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Oxford City | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Welling United | 5 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Slough Town | 5 | -1 | 7 |
11 | Tonbridge Angels | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Slough Town |
42.65% ( 0.14) | 26.01% ( 0.13) | 31.34% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% ( -0.65) | 51.19% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( -0.57) | 73.03% ( 0.58) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% ( -0.22) | 23.82% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% ( -0.31) | 58% ( 0.31) |
Slough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.51) | 30.37% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.62) | 66.57% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Bath City | Draw | Slough Town |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.34% |
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