SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Taunton Town | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 20 | Slough Town | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | Welling United | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Oxford City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
36.98% ( 0.18) | 24.94% ( -0.04) | 38.08% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.21) | 45.37% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 0.2) | 67.71% ( -0.2) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( 0.19) | 24.15% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( 0.27) | 58.46% ( -0.27) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( 0.02) | 23.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( 0.04) | 57.62% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.08% |
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