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National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Arbour Park

Slough
0 - 2
Chelmsford City

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jackson (11'), Aransibia (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Slough Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Slough TownDrawChelmsford City
36.98% (0.179 0.18) 24.94% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04) 38.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.98% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.209 0.21)45.37% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.199 0.2)67.71% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.193 0.19)24.15% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (0.272 0.27)58.46% (-0.27 -0.27)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.022999999999996 0.02)23.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (0.036999999999999 0.04)57.62% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Slough Town 36.98%
    Chelmsford City 38.08%
    Draw 24.93%
Slough TownDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 3-1 Slough
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 3-1 Slough
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-6 Dartford
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Slough
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Billericay
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South


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