SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Oxford City | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Slough Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Havant & Waterlooville | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dartford | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
32% ( -1.92) | 25.26% ( -0.29) | 42.73% ( 2.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.75) | 47.78% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.69) | 69.97% ( -0.68) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.85) | 28.23% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( -1.08) | 63.94% ( 1.09) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 1.42) | 22.3% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( 2.08) | 55.77% ( -2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.73% |
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