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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Boreham Wood |
29.9% ( 7.06) | 25.73% ( 2.1) | 44.37% ( -9.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( -3.59) | 50.59% ( 3.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( -3.26) | 72.51% ( 3.26) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 3.77) | 31.08% ( -3.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 4.19) | 67.4% ( -4.19) |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -5.24) | 22.73% ( 5.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -8.42) | 56.41% ( 8.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 1.83) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 1.24)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 1.44)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.71)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.69)Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 1.03) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.97)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.71)0-2 @ 7.75% ( -1.51)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -1.2)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -1.56)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.38)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.82)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.93)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.37% |
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