SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Slough Town |
33.44% ( -0.03) | 23.25% ( -0.03) | 43.3% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.48% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.08% ( 0.14) | 37.92% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.82% ( 0.15) | 60.18% ( -0.15) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 0.05) | 22.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( 0.07) | 56.25% ( -0.07) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0.09) | 17.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( 0.14) | 48.79% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Slough Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.3% |
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