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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Chelmsford City |
46.76% ( 4.05) | 22.9% ( -0.02) | 30.34% ( -4.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% ( -1.6) | 37.59% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% ( -1.73) | 59.83% ( 1.73) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( 0.94) | 16.48% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% ( 1.68) | 46.19% ( -1.68) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -3.04) | 24.27% ( 3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.36% ( -4.51) | 58.64% ( 4.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.75)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.86)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.33)Other @ 4.45% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.6)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.43)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.35)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.34% |
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