Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.