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National League South | Gameweek 16
Jan 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City
1 - 1
St Albans City

Jackson (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jeffers (36')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
23.85%23.6%52.55%
Both teams to score 55.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14%45.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83%68.18%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67%33.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05%69.95%
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57%17.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12%47.88%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 23.85%
    St Albans City 52.54%
    Draw 23.6%
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 8.87%
1-3 @ 5.67%
0-3 @ 5.16%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.54%

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