Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.