Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
