Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.