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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheshunt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Concord Rangers |
46.24% ( 0.28) | 24.79% ( -0.02) | 28.96% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.07) | 47.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.07) | 69.34% ( 0.07) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.09) | 20.43% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( 0.15) | 52.87% ( -0.15) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0.22) | 29.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( -0.27) | 66.07% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.96% |
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