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National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
2 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Bettamer (9'), Kyei (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romain (75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Concord RangersDrawHemel Hempstead Town
34.66% (-0.655 -0.66) 25.42% (-0.127 -0.13) 39.92% (0.77999999999999 0.78)
Both teams to score 56.02% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.461 0.46)47.79% (-0.463 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.423 0.42)69.97% (-0.425 -0.42)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)26.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.226 -0.23)61.81% (0.223 0.22)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.611 0.61)23.69% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.871 0.87)57.8% (-0.875 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 34.66%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 39.92%
    Draw 25.41%
Concord RangersDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.121 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 3-1 Chippenham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 3-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-2 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-2 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South


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