Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Concord Rangers | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
34.66% ( -0.66) | 25.42% ( -0.13) | 39.92% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( 0.46) | 47.79% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% ( 0.42) | 69.97% ( -0.42) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.17) | 26.59% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.19% ( -0.23) | 61.81% ( 0.22) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( 0.61) | 23.69% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.19% ( 0.87) | 57.8% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Concord Rangers | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.92% |
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