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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Welling United |
45.18% ( 0.17) | 25.37% ( -0.01) | 29.45% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.02) | 49.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.02) | 71.39% ( 0.02) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.07) | 21.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( 0.1) | 55.05% ( -0.1) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( -0.12) | 30.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( -0.15) | 67.03% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.45% |
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