SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Oxford City |
25.02% ( -0.08) | 23.27% ( -0.05) | 51.71% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( 0.17) | 43.3% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.17) | 65.69% ( -0.16) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.02) | 30.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( 0.02) | 67.26% ( -0.02) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.11) | 16.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.2) | 46.75% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.71% |
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