SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
38.39% ( -0.43) | 25.65% ( 0.14) | 35.96% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.59) | 48.66% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.54) | 70.77% ( 0.54) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( -0.5) | 24.88% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.7) | 59.49% ( 0.7) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.11) | 26.24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.65% ( -0.14) | 61.35% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.96% |
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