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National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
3 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet

Addy (21'), Collins (56'), Gard (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mills (34')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDulwich Hamlet
39.08% (-1.226 -1.23) 25.78% (-0.244 -0.24) 35.14% (1.467 1.47)
Both teams to score 54.86% (1.095 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (1.28 1.28)49.31% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (1.143 1.14)71.36% (-1.143 -1.14)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)24.81% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)59.39% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (1.521 1.52)27.03% (-1.522 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (1.946 1.95)62.39% (-1.948 -1.95)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 39.08%
    Dulwich Hamlet 35.14%
    Draw 25.77%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDulwich Hamlet
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.518 -0.52)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.374 -0.37)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.359 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.25 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.169 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-4 Hampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Welling United
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Slough
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South


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