SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Havant & Waterlooville | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tonbridge Angels | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Concord Rangers | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Oxford City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | St Albans City | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
44.96% ( -0.07) | 26.32% ( -0.02) | 28.71% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( 0.11) | 53.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( 0.1) | 75.06% ( -0.09) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 0.02) | 23.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( 0.02) | 57.86% ( -0.02) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.13) | 33.49% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( 0.14) | 70.12% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.71% |
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