Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.