SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Dartford |
28.87% ( -0.19) | 25.89% ( 0.02) | 45.23% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.18) | 51.78% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% ( -0.15) | 73.54% ( 0.15) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( -0.23) | 32.44% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( -0.26) | 68.96% ( 0.26) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0) | 22.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0) | 56.56% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.87% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.23% |
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