SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Taunton Town |
43.65% ( 0.16) | 25.77% ( -0.19) | 30.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( 0.79) | 50.5% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( 0.7) | 72.43% ( -0.69) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0.42) | 23.04% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( 0.61) | 56.86% ( -0.61) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( 0.42) | 30.56% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( 0.5) | 66.79% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Taunton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.57% |
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