SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Dover Athletic |
46.58% ( -0.45) | 25.48% ( 0.18) | 27.93% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.58) | 50.62% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( -0.51) | 72.53% ( 0.51) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.44) | 21.73% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.67) | 54.9% ( 0.67) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.1) | 32.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.91% ( -0.11) | 69.08% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.93% |
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