SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
37.32% ( -0) | 23.94% ( 0) | 38.73% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% ( -0.02) | 40.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.02% ( -0.02) | 62.97% ( 0.02) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.01) | 21.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( -0.01) | 55.02% ( 0.01) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.01) | 21.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( -0.02) | 53.95% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.32% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 38.73% |
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