Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
