SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Aveley |
43.41% ( 1.07) | 26.17% ( -0.18) | 30.41% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0.38) | 52.22% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( 0.32) | 73.93% ( -0.32) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.7) | 23.9% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( 0.99) | 58.11% ( -0.98) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.43) | 31.55% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -0.5) | 67.94% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.41% |
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