SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Worthing |
32.88% ( -0.1) | 25.36% ( -0.11) | 41.76% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( 0.46) | 47.94% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( 0.42) | 70.11% ( -0.42) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( 0.16) | 27.75% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( 0.21) | 63.32% ( -0.2) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.31) | 22.84% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( 0.45) | 56.57% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.88% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.76% |
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