SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Aveley |
28.49% ( 0.07) | 25.49% ( 0.02) | 46.02% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.05) | 50.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( -0.04) | 72.26% ( 0.04) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( 0.03) | 31.97% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( 0.03) | 68.43% ( -0.03) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.06) | 21.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( -0.09) | 55.09% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.01% |
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