SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | St Albans City |
30.61% ( 1.25) | 25.11% ( -0.13) | 44.29% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( 1.13) | 47.67% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( 1.04) | 69.87% ( -1.03) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 1.45) | 29.11% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( 1.75) | 65.03% ( -1.74) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.03) | 21.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( -0.05) | 54.6% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.61% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.29% |
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